1 39 / Laub Sampson(2003) / 10 ( 2 =62.490***) (2 =17.401***) / () / 2004 2015 ( ) / Sampson Laub 2011 2014 The Longitudinal Study on Parolees Persistence/Desistance from Crime: The Impact of Informal Social Control and Situational Choices 27