Page 27 - 0125-蝢文鴃-?舀??蝚??瑞洵1??折?
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( 10 )
(B=.383*) Wald 10
/ (B=-.033***) (B=-.039***)
(Wals=19.218) (B=.077***)
(Wals=22.546)
(Wals=5.980)
10
B Wals Exp(B) B Wals Exp(B) B Wals Exp(B)
-.039* 22.546 .962
.510* 8.235 1.665 .010 .316 1.010 .383* 5.139 1.466
-.202** 8.896 .817 .095*** 21.944 1.099
-.040** 8.853 .922 -.033*** 5.980 .968
-.081 1.717 .92 .018 2.372 1.018
-.224 2.946 .799
-2LL; 2 1.561 12.278 4.762 .077*** 19.218 1.080
* p .05 **p -2LL=140.710 -2LL=1153.562a
2 =62.490*** 2 =17.401*** 2.239 15.336 9.380
:/ -2LL=1094.850
.01 ***p .001 : / =0; =1 2 =108.350***
: =0; =1;
2004 1939 Boston
Glueck
Sampson Laub(1993 2003 )
1939
Glueck 14 70
2004 2015 63
2 27.2% 11
2.18
59.48% 2
12
The Longitudinal Study on Parolees Persistence/Desistance from Crime: The Impact of Informal Social Control and Situational Choices 25
